What’s at Stake in Indiana’s Primary?

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Eyewitness News is breaking down the math behind both the Republican and Democratic contests.

Republican Primary

Indiana has 57 Republican delegates up for grabs.

In Indiana, Republican delegates are allocated in a winner-take-all fashion both statewide and by congressional district.

This means, the state’s winner will win most of the delegates with the possibility of winning them all.

1,237 delegates are required to clinch Republican nomination.

Here’s a look at the current Republican totals:

  • Donald Trump – 996
  • Ted Cruz – 565
  • John Kasich – 153

Ted Cruz and John Kasich are both mathematically eliminated from winning the Republican nomination on the convention’s first ballot.

This means Cruz and Kasich could only win by denying Trump the minimum amount of delegates required to secure the nomination, and forcing the party to enter a brokered convention.

If Trump wins all of Indiana’s delegates, that would put him at 1,053 total delegates.

With less than 500 total Republican delegates left, Indiana will play a key role in determining whether Donald Trump ultimately reaches the minimum amount of delegates required before the convention.

If Trump is blocked from winning most of Indiana’s delegates, this would put a roadblock in his path to securing the nomination.

However, it would not mathematically eliminate the possibility of Trump managing to secure the delegates.

Here are the remaining Republican contests after Indiana:

  • Nebraska and West Virginia – May 10 – 62 delegates
  • Oregon – May 17 – 28 delegates
  • Washington – May 24 – 44 delegates
  • South Dakota, New Mexico, New Jersey, Montana, California – June 7 – 303 delegates

Trump cannot mathematically clinch the nomination until the final contests on June 7.

Democratic Primary

Hillary Clinton is closing in on the Democratic nomination.

2,383 delegates are required to clinch a win and she is not far from that number when superdelegates are combined with pledged delegates.

Here’s a look at the current Democratic totals:

  • Hillary Clinton: 1,645 pledged + 520 superdelegates = 2,165 total
  • Bernie Sanders: 1,318 pledged + 39 superdelegates = 1,357

Superdelegates are party leaders, officials, and office holders that can choose to support a candidate with no regard to their state’s voting.

520 of those superdelegates have indicated support for Clinton and 39 have indicated support for Sanders.

Indiana has 83 pledged delegates up for grabs and 9 superdelegates in the Democratic race.

Democratic contests divide delegates proportionally meaning the race for the Democratic nomination will continue after Indiana.

No candidate can mathematically reach 2,383 delegates after the Indiana primary – even if all of the delegates went to one candidate (which is highly improbable due to the proportional allocation of delegates).

Here’s a list of the remaining Democratic contests after Indiana:

  • Guam – May 7 – 7 pledged, 5 superdelegates
  • West Virginia – May 10 – 29 pledged, 8 superdelegates
  • Kentucky and Oregon – May 17 – 116 pledged, 18 superdelegates
  • Virgin Islands – June 4 – 7 pledged, 5 superdelegates
  • Puerto Rico – June 5 – 60 pledged, 7 superdelegates
  • South Dakota, New Mexico, North Dakota, New Jersey, Montana, California – June 7 – 694 pledged, 114 superdelegates
  • District of Columbia – June 14 – 20 pledged, 25 superdelegates

Based on delegate count and the proportional nature of the Democratic contests, neither candidate is likely to reach the 2,383 mark until the June 7 contests.

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